Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Tuesday, 6 April 2021

THE THIRD WAVE - ALVIN TOFFLER





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When I read any book, I scribble my comments / notes in the margins


These reflect my views / opinions about what the author is saying – including my disagreement

Often, my comments are in the nature of telling myself :

Hey ! We should try out this idea in our own business ( Head-hunting / Online Recruitment )

Following are my comments re :


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Page No 2

·         In last 6 weeks I have posted 2000+advts.on freeelassiffeds websites, with slogan:

·         “Jobs for all=peace on Eart”22/07/2007.

Page No 8

·         Starting about cell-phones are changing life’s of million’s like no other invention so far in mankind s history,

·         Cell up hones could be the beginning of the 4/2 wave-where everybody on Earth becomes Omni present, omnipotent! 

Page No 10

·         And internet will be the vehicle that the humanity will ride.

·         Consumer assembled product & advises.

Page No 12

·         “Jobs for ALL-peace on earth [the constructive way]

·         This has come true a symptom of a deeper success in jobs……

Page No 13

·         The great levellev level plays in field of Information disseminafran at the speed of light.

·         “Intermit +TV +cellphones”

Page No 14
          when I first went to USA in sept.1955% to return in May 1958.

Page no 15

·         Still happening in India.

Page No 17

·         Jobs for all=peace on Earth. 

Page No 21

·         In third way the basis will be “information”

·         Four “Varna’s”

Page no 28

·         Yet to accelerate’

Page No 31

·         A trend that has accelerated with arnval of mass-media & internet.

Page No 33

·         How email & SMS are killing the post office o telegrams are already deed! Fax rarely 70 billion emailed per day used.

Page No 32

·         Jobs for All= peace on Earth,

Page No 40

·         I hope “resume rater”& interviewer become such-amplifying ‘processes 29/7/07

Page No 42

·         Internet is beginning to change this by eliminating eliminating middlemen and making available same into every consumer.

Page No 49

·         Google is an outstanding example of seavah –engine standardization “on the internet.

Page No 68

·         Internet is this “new “institution the weakening power of “information integrators”

·         Today, with daily arrivals of hundreds of email resumes, the recruitment manager depends upon his subordinates to read /rater/rank/excellent/good/ave/poor/these resumes and present to him only 3/5  

·         “Best / relevant ‘ones,

·         Recruitment manager “depends” upon this information [rating/ranking/from below.

·         May be “resume rater “will reduce/eliminate this “dependency “by taking over the function of subordinates.

·         Resume rater will prove especially useful and for recruitment managers who don’t have subordinates already 1250 copes have been downloaded.

Page No 74

·         And now these decisions become known around the world in real time-thru TV radio/internet.

Page No 80

·         Euro took several years after European Union.

Page No 81

·         At present software jobs in India depend upon markets of UAS-Europe –japan

 Page No 82

·         What is happening [although-slowly] in European Union over]the last 20 year.

Page no 83

·         What internet is doing right now?

Page No 86

·         Like present day “outsourcing “by us/ European companies to save cost. 

Page No 88

·         Exact by how the British penetrated India-then divided & ruled.

Page No 94

·         I want recruiters to accept resume rater as the “normal way of recruitment then cook them in India recruitev thru “interviewer.

Page No 100

·         2 years later there is thought /awareness” but very little “action” to stop further damage

Page No 102

·         AS late as early 1950 Nehru called these ‘temples of new India.

Page NO

·         Kal –chakra [wheel of time]

Page No 117

·         27 years after, was written in 1980 these “energy slaves are electronic devices and software’s internet

Page No 118

·         Now Google maps and many similar one are about to one more dimension to our everyday experiences.

Page No 119

·         And soon to be fought “remotely thru agents [devices]

Page No 121

·         This month s conference of nations at bail, agreed to renegotiate KYOTO protocol by 2009

Page No 122

·         27 years later, mankind recognizes these turning point politicians dread to ACT unforchlar    ACTS.

PAGE NO 123

·         Daily protests & violent terrorism [suicide] bombers everywhere & media [TV / internet] to spared the news constantly.

Page No 124

·         Internet & mobile phones are merely spiritual manifestations.

Page No 127

·         Reminds me of my sun long bus ride from New York to Urbana [illi] in sept.1995.

·         I fell like Alice in the wondered as I looked but t of the bus window .Took close to 24 hours

·         In summer of 1956 I worked as a draftsman in Detroit [massy Ferguson]

Page No 128

·         May be those who built-silicon valley in early eighties when tolled wrote this bill gates & his tribe.

Page no 129

·         Read “tripping point “by Malcolm gadwall.

Page No 130

·         Social networking “websites?

Page NO 132

·         For last few months oil has been selling at more than $90/= per barrel even touched $ 100 X-MAS 25/12/2007

Page NO133

·         Especially for India which imports 2/3 its requirement.

Page No 134

·         China is combining one cool-based power plant EVERY WEEK! May be 500 mw.

Page No 135

·         During 2007 ONGC-GAIL-MITTAL –REL ETC .have been winning oil exploration blocks in gulf /Nigeria/Venezuela/Mexico/Russia/etc.tiis.

Page No 136

·         No mention of wind power generators! Which offer real promise?

Page No 140

·         25 yrs. Later now the Japanese are selling toilets-with bulletin computers!

·         Yet to arrive-but omits easy.

Page No 141

·         Such substitution can nave be “total “metals & plastics would need to be shaped requiring ehrvgy.

  Page no 143

·         International space station [ISS] is receiving shuttles once in 2 month ferrying cargo, or people.

·         No luck so far.

·         It is still a topic-except “cold”

·         Imagination travels fast.

Page No-143

·         25 years later, we are still struggling to keep 6 people alive & well in ISS!

·         Apparently it is not difficult to “imagine “anything & predicting is effortless! 25 years ago this must have made very impressive reading!!

Page NO 144

·         We have not yet heard of commercially viable venture.

·         Fizzled- out revolution?

·         Another im preserve prediction!

Page No 145

·         So fan a handful of small power plants & declamation plants in gulf of cores, hundreds  of oil drilling ring & production platforms are in use .jape is still planning.

Page No 147

·         Experiments are still confined to the fringes-like skin.

 Page No 148

·         Gm. [genetically] by modified foods have started to all pear on stove-shelve,

·         This is still rampant all over the world.

Page No 149

·         When this book was written in 1980, pc were only on horizon and in target was not even conceived pc came 81/82

Page No 151

·         You cannot blame rattan Tata for introducing can Jan 10, 2008, a rs-1 lakh car NANO millions would want to buy. Hell with pollution.

Page No 152

·         After 25 years of writing exactly opposite is happening –with internet helping with global marketing 11/02/2008.

Page No 153

·         Lack of education.

Page no154

·         Toffler could not even have a glimpse go internet when he wrote this.

Page No 156

·         Like our collecting of email ID thru resume rater-and much more to come.

·         How accurate forecast!  Last week Microsoft offered $41-6 billion to buy YAHOO.COM nothing but information.

Page No 158

·         Emails flooding the mailboxes .profiles will change faster & faster as more resumes are submitted.

·         Profiles will change as weightages “change It is still.

Page NO 161

·         Now replaced by listening to MPS payers.

  Page no 162

·         Replied by social Networking video webmistress’

Page No 163

·         May be it is time for Toffler to write the fourth wave “

·         I am to jobseekers to interact with job channel.

Page no 165  

·         Newspaper/radio/TV was sewing a few content entertainments to a few thousand or million internets seems everything to all.

Page No 169

·         They were –by 1990

Page NO 170

·         I wonder if Toffler envisaged email/sms/skimped in 1980!

·         Clear prediction!

Page No 171

·         Yet to happen after 28 yrs.-but progress is being made every day.

Page NO 173

·         Because of internet many more pepper are things than ever before.

·         Our profile graphs are a synthesis of date supplied by candidates.

 Page no 175

·         Kids are “calling on in trench to find information for them-something for which they used to depend upon their parents 22/03/2008.

Page NO 176

·         May be the reason behind phenomena growth of blogs on urge to “share “personal memories in order to immortalize one self,

Page NO 177

·         I wonder if Toffler had envisioned GOOGLE!

·         Not our profiles.

Page no 181

·         At l&T powai, there were 5000 unionized workers & 2000 supervisor staff when I was GM in 1982 now I am told that ratio has reversed 27/03/2008.

·         Currently, china is considered to be & the “workshop” for the world.  

Page No 185

·         All interactive website do this –but it is remarkable to envision this.

·         Dells online order dings system.

·         Serving of webpages on clicking links.

Page No 188

·         Sometime in 1982/83 I &t union office-bearers to witness a demo of word processor at the Datamatic office

Page no 189

·         After seeing the demo they were convinced that L&T should intro duce these in offices there was  when unions every wear were objecting!

·         Email![ be fore’s Bhatia’s Hotmail]

Page no 190

·         First time I saw a FAX m/c in Copenhagen around 1972.It amazed me! Still going strong.

Page no 191

·         After 25 yes, still on a distant horizon!

Page no 193

·         E.g. = BPO JOBS moving to India Philippines-Malaysia & mfg.  Jobs moving to china –Brazil-Eastern Europe 30/03/2008.

Page no 195

·         This has not happened, after 25 yrs. –in any significant way-16/04/2008.

Page no 195

·         To different degrees, all of these objecting ons are valid-even today in age of internet VPN-mobile phones-Skype-wimax at etc.

Page no 196

·         This reversal of ratio has also happened at L&T’s powai works between 1982/5500/2000

·         2008/2000/ 5000.

Page no 197

·         The real “[workplace revolution “as of now]is not many people working from home, but.

·         Working farm home in evenings &                                                                                          weekends basically.

·         Working from offices wanted in different cities / conn tries. There is more collaborative work taking place across continents. Line recruitment.

Page No 198

·         With the advent of cell-phones all managers are forced to: “work from home [“talking-sms email] at nearly-all hours 26/04/2008 

·         This trend has just begun.

Page NO 199

·         An American company cannot directly deal with hundreds of programmers working from their homes in India.so it outsources to Indian co.

Page No 204

·         For India, this mobile areolation is the real THIRD WAVE.

Page No 205

·         With addition of 70.6 million mobile phones in March 2008, taking the total to 261 mails.

·         India overtook USA, TO become 2 after china.

Page no 206

·         BPO /KPO/call-center/ IT enabled/services, serving, serving customers around the world and round the clock. We do once a month.

Page No 207

·         Seal –service websites induced.

·         It is 28 yrs. Since writing.

·         With telecom /computer /internet /revolution, more & info-based work is mooring across national boundries.why move people [dislocate] if work “can be moved? Skill is being “insourced “into organization s from around the world ,just as work is being “outsourced” capital is moving around the world-without much hindrance.27/04/2008.

Page No 211

·         May be “live-in”& same sex marriages were unheard of 28 yrs. ago.  

·         What might it be now in 2008?

Page no 212

·         Could this be 40%by now?

Page NO 214

·         Even in a city like Mumbai, nearly 40% it a registered marriages have resulted in divorce dunning last 2 years 40.000/100.000

Page no 216

·         28 years later, hardly any debate on this as peak.

Page no 219

·         Gils working [employed] before marriage. And willing to continue to work after the marriage –is becoming   an important qualification white Choate osier mate,

Page no 222

·         Gujarat has become a big center for surrogate mothers-for foreign couples.

Page no 223

·         Today ‘s paper talks of a British woman paying $ 15000 expenses+$7000 to an Indianan  woman from Anand to bear a child for her.in UK this will cost 10.000/

·         10/05/2008

Page no 225

·         We have diversified “family styles, in our own wider family-tree:

·         Pappu, divorced & living with daughter in London.

·         Aprna, divorced [thrice] living with old parents.

·         Snehal [bachelor] living with old parent.

·         Chirag once divorced & remarried.

Page no 226

·         World economy crisis resurfaces again & again. During last 12 months it has resurfaced in the form of.

·         USA-subprime housing was crisis resulting in billions of dollars of losses to major us companies & spectra of recess on / job losses oil price reached $ 126per barrel yesterday.

·         FOOD –prices went up by 50% 100% all over the world in last 12 month.

·         EHNRGY-crisis in developing     countries.

·         FLOODS-famines-hurricanes-tsunami.

·         GLOBEL-warming transport     bottlenecks.

·         Middle East wars al Qaeda

·         Iraq/Afghan/ Lebanon/Israel 

 10/05/2008

Page no 227

·         We have all 3-simaltaneius by.

·         Inflation at 7.62% last week highest in a yrs.

·         Not enough diesel/gas.

·         1million lost jobs in textile in-due to strong RE.

·         I wonder if toffee is keeping track!

Page no 228

·         Today’s ‘papers talk of in India having stashed away $ 1.4 Trillion worth of black many in secret Swiss bank accounts 11/05/2008.

·         Reborn as WTO, it is   still under attack.

Page No 229

·         Euro is the new king.

·         Internet has killed both, distance.

Page No 230

·         Ground attrition in Indian BPO /call centers is around 50%/70%, with real call centers of opening up every week.

·         Many India co are reporting high future derivatives losses.

Page no 231

·         Now a new model of mobile phone goats launched EVRYDAY.    

Page No 235

·         28 yrs. later, it is 6.2 billion 13/05/2008.

·         These shifts are no more shuffle” these have become violent, with floods/droughts /hurricanes /tsunami/snow-storms .etc. everywhere.

Page no 246

·         This is still a rarity-at least in India 2008.9 to 5 still rules.

Page no 247

·         For many senior executives availability of internet at home & the Omni-present cell-phone, has made it 8am to 10 pm working!! Inciting on Sunday.

Page no 248

·         BPO/call center work around the clock .Emails gets sent 24 hrs.x365.98 billion.

·         Spam messages/day!

Page no 249

·         ATM – work 24 hrs. Web-based e-comers works 24 hours.WWW is open 24x365radro & TV channels too.

Page no 250

·         Email/sms/mobile/IM/SKYPE/ ETC.

Page No 252

·         IN 1980, very had even heard of the internet.

Page no 523

·         Soon Skype/web cam will be common.

Page no 257

·         After being president of Russia for 8 years a few day back Putin became prime –minister.

·         Elected medveh day as president! A brand new manegnent technique! 19/05/2005

Page no 262

·         And this is accelerating due to outsourcing, internet mobile phones, and batter.

·         Infrastructure.

Page no 264

·         This was written nearly 25 years before Wikipedia linked in Friendster/dig/delicious/my spacel /Facebook etc.!!

·         Amazing 18 someday our oven “poll-e-ticks.06/06/2008

Page no 265

·         Resume rater is helping HR mangers by rating raking candidates resumes-soon we will in traduce match-index which will match & find “

·         For jobseekers –most suitable jobs candidates then both will need to depend less & less on recruitment agencies/headhunters.

·         And someday their s/w agents [Avatars] will even”negoticte on their behalf!       

Page no 269

·         Where I was in Lawrence [Kansas]=KU

·         History is repeating in 2008! $135 barrel.

Page no 270

·         Must be close to 100% by now.

Page no 271

·         Now institutionalized” into   thousands of call-centers around the world –serving

·         Customers 10000 km away.

Page no 272

·         Must be 90% by now.

·         Our Resume Blast is a case.

Page no 274

·         Yet to become commonplace! of lows ,you  can “configure ”your PC/ laptop on DELL ‘S  website & make online payment nothing more .

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