Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Wednesday, 16 June 2021

THE RISE OF THE ROBOTS - MARTIN FORD




====================================================================================

When I read any book, I scribble my comments / notes in the margins


These reflect my views / opinions about what the author is saying – including my disagreement

Often, my comments are in the nature of telling myself :

Hey ! We should try out this idea in our own business ( Head-hunting / Online Recruitment )

Following are my comments re :

THE RISE OF THE ROBOTS - MARTIN FORD      

                                                                                                          

=====================================================================================


Page no = xii (1)

·         India adds 12 million to its.

Page no = xiv (2)

·         “job Descriptions” in job – advts, are “records” of what a candidate. Is “expected to do”, for occupying a given “position vacancy / job tittle, now imagine recording all the “Questions” that interviewers ask the candidates during intewiews. And complete a database of these questions may be someday sari or Cortina will be able ask hoe very questions!    

Page no = xvi  (3)

·         In my concept note “online jobs fair” I have envisioned capturing all the “interview Questions” being asked by thousands of interviews to lakhs of candidates if a database of one million “Questions” was to be made available to WATSON ,it may be possible to replace human interviewers.

·         In early 60th in L&t I had prepared ACRA Annual calendar of Repetitive Activities.

Page no = 02 (4)   

·         Read blog “second industrial Revolution” at 21 sept 2015 (www.hemenparekh.in)

Page no = 03(5)

·         Saw these on yesterday‘s BBC TV PROGRAM “CLICK”- ESPCIALLY DEVOTED TO emergence of robotics in china.

Page no = 10 (6)

·         A recent TV show showed how GERMANY is leading in this.

Page no = 12 (7)

·         There is no doubt factories manufacturing Robots are likely to be located in developed countries of us A1 EU and they would want to export their robot s to manufactures in developing countries – without worrying what damage that might do other local mfr. Road my today blog: How to break the vicious crick.?

Page no = 15 (8)

·         I saw such a conveyors belt in a resrtarautia sin gap or way bake in 2006 Diners had their tables. Set at right angles   to the conveyor let –and just pick up their ordered food from the left on own.

Page no = 16 (9)

·         In my blog “Back factory of the world? “ I have suggested that Indian startups should get into this business of “OFFSITE NANA GEMENT “

·         CLOSEER at home flip kart snapped mantra jabbing.

Page no = 18 (10)

·         I am reminded of a book tatted “automatic Factory that I read, sometime in “1957, while at KU-I  believe the author was john Diabolist.

Page no = 19 (11)

·         Another job- for “Back factory of the  world? “  Provided an India called (say) “Doshi”, can be hired foe 25% of the salary of “Dunning”! 

Page no = 20 (12)

·         Let as hope someday soon, we come up with such a virtual Assistant for jobseekers in the form of chat lot “my job “V 2.0 WITH HELP FROM WATSON   annals bics. 

Page no = 31 (13)

·         I have not completed reading his book: Human use of Human Beings “for the second time.

Page no = 41 (14)

·         Seamy blog “How to Greek the visions circle? Of July.

Page no = 43 (15)

·         India needs to generate 1 million new jobs EVERY MONTH. 

Page no = 45 (16)

·         I have repeatedly told fresh graduates: take what’ve coms your way first in an interview being unemployed “is the biggest disqualificaon.   

Page no = 49 (17)

·         Read my today; s blog = self-Advertising Black money?

Page no = 50 (18)

·         It is reproofed that 80% of fresh graduated in India are “unemployable”! Must be 80% in India. If we manage to succeed with our “job market  Analyfra with help from IBM our graphs would vividly show such trends.

Page no = 52 (19)

·         Out sourcing of developing countries after 1995. We launched 3pjobs 1997.

Page no = 56 (20)

·         These too will become “tradable” with AI /Big /Data / CLOUD computing / Remote Robotics.  Read my blog “Back factory of the World”

·         What % of all imports all over the world?  Apple outhouses to Fax com china.

Page no = 58 (21)

·         Like two IBM (Watson) computers playing each other!

Page no = 59 (22)

·         Mfg. industry AFL –CIO & THE Teamsters Union. This has strafed happening in India. 

Page no = 61 (23)

·         Online “e; commerce” portals are replacing logic-and –mother “retail shops.   Drones will limit the

·         “Delivery boy”

·         Read blog “Back Factory of the world” e.g. my suggestion to embed RFD   SENSORS in Rs- 500/100 currency noted. .

Page no = 65 (24)

·         Each software code builds upon what has already been “coded” earlier. Same for mobile  apps.

Page no = 66 (25)

·         Read my blog: March of the Algorithm.

Page no = 72 (26)

·         That leap could well be “Dan Gassed computing where a small vial-full of DNA can hold 10 million full length movies!    

Page no = 78 (27)

·         India is the 4th largest user (market) of mobile Apps.

·         Today news report says India produce 15 lakh engineer grades every year but only 2 lakh jobs!! Despite all 15 lakh having smart phones! Our own my jobs “earned $ 2.75 in 2 years!!

Page no = 82 (28)

·         Success builds upon previous success. Big internet companies are buying out hundreds of smart innovative “startups” or their patents, with their toys of money.

Page no = 86 (29)

·         Can eat son Analytics do the same for 2 million job- advts? 

Page no = 88 (30)

·         What john Battelle calls “Database of intentions “in his book “Google”

Page no = 90 (31)

·         Read my blogs: - A currency Map of India” self-Advertising Black money March of Algorithm. All about RFLD senses cube pled in currency noted.  Read these case a dozen books!

Page no = 91 (32)

·         Read my noted on “Export systems” in which I have written a few “lf / then “rules for candidates (jobseekers), based on “co-relations” found in their resumes. Based on Benson  logic.

Page no = 93 (33)

·         Around 1998,  I got Cyril cabby  to  install a Napalmed program on a computer at  his residence and load one resume ( dormant ) After 2 days of running software was  able to succefully identify a string of words making up “Address”!    

Page no = 94 (34)

·         Read my notes on how such an “Expert system “can locate “keywords” belonging to a totally previously “uncrown” skill-set?

Page no = 95 (35)

·         If nitin (sentient) succeed indeed playing   Watson Analytics, to interpret / predict, 2 million job-advts, then we will try it out on (maybe / 10.000 // jr- Executive Resume contained in FILE FINDER.

Page no = 96 (36)

·         If I am Strll around by 2020. It is possible that Google may learn from my blogs –and other notes – and write out “my: next blog!! Of course, at my age I am pasha worrying about getting obsolete.

Page no = 98 (37)

·         After some effort to update sr. Exec. Resumes lying in FILE FINDER, I BELIVE, we gave up since, we could phone conceded executive and update which was impossible may be work fusion software and email and old resume to each executive requesting him to UPDATE & RETURN! 

Page no = 100 (38)

·         In our own ([proposed) “job market Analyst tics: the graphs charts being displayed must arouse “curiosity” on part of the visit and encourage him to “Explore” the deep caves of ignorance.

Page no = 101 (39)

·         Each of our databases of 2+ million –advts is a kind of “document” as for the “Questions” that I want Watson to be able to “ANSWER, read my notes / emails to ROHINI (of ltit)

Page no = 102 (40)

·         If each of our 2 million job-advert, contains 100 words that would add up to 200 million “words”    

·         About 10 years back I had same approach a team  of students from Somalia college to come up with an Algorithm which can come up with right answers to India’s’ own Quiz show, “Kaun Banega Carodpati ? Correct answers to each question by past contestants.

Page no = 103 (41)

·         Answers that contain “Lincoln” + chase +”seventies to begin with? Job Descriptions in job advts are UN structured.

Page no = 105 (42)

·         How soon before a smart phone based WATSON job market Analytics, app is able to answer a jobseeker, who asks. Conation? (   Which job should & I app mfr? which company: v.2.0 of “My jobs” which HP developed for me. I l 2012.

Page no = 106 (43)

·         What I plan to do with “job Market Analyst tics” on 07/07, read an email from IBM Watson team. Attaching a link for dwenlode of Watson –free “version shuklendu /Nitin are cheering out.

Page no = 107 (44)

·         We must try to besiege WATSON for search & selection of suitable candidates from linked in that would be cruelly revolution any.

·         Infosys is going full blast on this and plans to hire, less and (less fresh computer grads, year –after-year, starting NOW.

Page no = 117 (45)

·         Today news say’s as a result of BREEXT (exit of from EU) 80.000/ Jobs Will More-Out   London’s financial district (city of lands to EU countries. )

Page no = 119 (46)

·         Read my blogs “Robots, robots everywhere, not a soul    1) to see”    2) “Back Factory of the world” which is “virtual immigration?”

Page no = 120 (47)

·         When President Obama asked Steve jobs to stop “outsourcing of Apple products to fox conn of shine and start manufacturing these in USA, in order to generate local jobs he “over my dead body He had no  love lost for USA factory workers His only concern was “More Profits” for Apple. And he did not sell those iPhone any cheaper to Amery cans!  

Page no = 121 (48)

·         E.g. If 3p can find a use for WATSON, in its “search / select / suggest” –a- candidate” process, it could pose a threat to headhunting firms in EU/USA!

Page no = 122 (49)

·         WATSON’S analysts of 2 million job-advts will clearly show: - what types of jobs are declining and what types are picking up. Q: - the ones which are picking up in India –are the declining?

·         Real my blog Back of the World. In India only 15%.

Page no = 126 (50)

·         3p‘s’ “competitive Advantage” is certainly not our consultants ability to “in terbia” better. I think it is our ability to “search “& “select” (judge) “suitable candidates, faster than our competitors.

·         I don’t’; know about our File – Finder ABILITY to “learn /get trained, but I did build-in this feature while designing, our (now defunct) “order Execution system” (oes) it is a pity, we stopped using it!

Page no = 129 (51)

·         Indian colleges churn out 3.5 million gradates each year (1.5 million being Engineering Grad) 

Page no = 130 (52)

·         In India, year after, thousands of graduates and post graduates, apply for jobs of “sweepers / peons” etc. in India barely 2 lakh out of 15 lakh Eng. Grads  get a job .this year in maha-one third of seats in Eng. Colleges have remained  vacant. 

Page no = 135 (53)

·         Our own software in RESUME RATER I developed 7/8  years beach, also relies on  1) Keywords relating to a function  2) pre-weightages assigned to each Keyword based on its thequency  of occurrence.

Page no = 139 (54)

·         In 1957, I paid $ 700 for full year at KU, $ 30000 to $ 35000,

Page no = 153 (55)

·         Can we capture the “Medical Records “&” Patent? Histories of hundreds of   millions of Indians, with help of technology? Yes, it is doable: Road my blog:   3D – Digital Delivery of Drugs.

·         Billions of transactions, can be subjected to BIG data Analyst which can predict, not only imminent drugs work & which don’t’ work.

·         I must send 3D blog to Forsyth Aleyondev tomorrow. 

Page no = 157 (56)

·         In, 3D I HAVE envisaged “doctor” on terrifying prescript tion in 3D App on a mobile phone. Kind of jobs Indians can perform remotely using WATSON read my blog Back of the world.

Page no = 165 (57)

·         3D –Digital Dely –of – Drugs “App, has built –in- feature to share data to no of parties.

·         Page no = 167 (58)
very much so in India where phwmacy show A  pharmacists on payroll  with on having one!

Page no = 171 (59)

·         In a few of my blogs, I have mentioned about 3D printing of houses, by a Chinese company WINSUN. LAST MONTH, Dubai unveiled an enable ground floor office of 20000 / which was 3D prited.within a few weeks. I have mentioned this in one of my blogs re-E- coma Definition.           

Page no = 172 (60)

·         Like today‘s CLIP-ART websites.

Page no = 174 (61)

·         Last month, one company printed –and then assembled on bare working small plane (20, long) using 3D printed. Parts only c may be Boeing.

Page no = 175 (62)

·         Last week of a TESLA auto car died on an accident,

Page no = 183 (63)

·         Thru UBER & OLA, indicial (car –owners are “sharing” their vehicles, for use by genocidal public this will soon, show up in declining sale of new vehicles. 

Page no = 189 (64)

·         Right now it is dividing on the issue of allowing immigrants from / Asia etc.

·         Supply exceeds demand. Right now pig’s countries are in this situation.

Page no = 191 (65)

·         Since, there IA no way, India c govt or private sector can create 12 million new jobs, every year, the only answer is: SELF E, PLOYMENT. In order to create purchasing power.

Page no = 194 (66)

·         Living beyond means!! Root of all problem of developed economies.no i.e. for every dollar of salary they were indeed by.  Credit card cancer.

Page no = 204 (67)

·         E.g. taxi companies hiving taxi drivers without “the Knowleday. 

Page no = 205 (68)

·         Warders- None (or low ) initial, onetime cost + high recurring Robots – High initial investment cost + very recurring cost ( maintenance )  when money is availed blew at close to ZERO interest  rate, more robots willing get installed !

Page no = 207 (69)

·         This is already happening. 

·         OR aggressively militate, demonstrate my purchase = someone else’s “salary” world has no “Raw Material” cost. Ultimately, all costs and resultant SELLING PRICES are only labor costs!!

Page no = 209 (70)

·         A direct outcome of :- 1) Not enough saving when having a jog. Worse. 

·         Spending more than income, building up credit card advts, 

·         Vicious circle!  “Busted” is the covert words.  Only waiting to happen. 

·         What Indian govt is doing?  RIGHT NOW. Respect of 7 lakh x wroth NHP‘s of banks I was unpaid by corporate.14/07/2016. (Aneree’s Birthday)

Page no = 210 (71)

·         I suppose, there will be more of this in the in the next book I plan to read (“the Rise and fall of Nations by Ruchir sharms. (Morgan Stanley Strategists)

·         What presidential nominee Clinton said in a public speech, 2 days back.

Page no = 211 (72)

·         Exact situation for 400 million Indians below the poverty line.  I believe also true in India.

·         More than 100% neutrally nation  of CPI rise.

Page no = 212 (73)

·         In India it is impossible. But this is a wishful thinking most of times.

Page no = 214 (74)

·         ALL because, bonuses of bank offrecers approving lawns, were tied to annual LOANS sanctioned.

·         Without any thought re: repayment capacity of then borrowers!

Page no = 215 (75)

·         No need to peck into future! This is happening in India, right now! With 1.2 million children (under dying each year, due to stawatror!!

·         Rather than enable easy immigration from poor countries, they will manage with more robots!

Page no = 217

·         No domestic saving! Always living off “tomorrow” i.e. credit cards.

Page no = 218

·         In India, a very small % age of citizen, have any kind of pension (govt or private,) this is why in India, there is a very strong deserve / impulse to “save for the Rainy day,” 

Page no = 220

·         Meaning what? Asking people to save less and spend more? In order to increase consumption? In order to fully utilize “capital investments “made? NOT likely!!

·         “No pension! No social security” is the issue.

·         Same in India + other poor countries

Page no = 221

·         Foxconn will start rolling out mobile phone’s from its pune factory, next month (3 million sq. . . . ft.)

·         85% of robots installed worldwide in 2015 in china.

Page no = 222

·         Apple “imports” all of its products from china.

Page no = 230

·         I read somewhere that he pops, some 100/150, tablets (vitamins / supplements /proteins etc. ) DAILY, in order to live trill 2030 (or so), when, he this AI teaching loggias would enable him to live for 200 years!

Page no = 235

·         This is exactly what I have in mind (for 3p) even as I await uploading into Watson taly tics, next week 

·         2 million job-advts / 10 million resume / then see what it comes up with.

·         But not if he is Stephen Hawkins or ELON Musk. / it will first manifest itself in business. Will certainly happen to Watson.

Page no = 236

·         May be, for this reason, IBM GIVE Watson free “pals costs $ 30/ month, “Professimal “cost $ 80/ month.

·         We are trying “job market Analytics” with Watson. May be Watson can even write a blog for me-and better than me- if it’s fed with all of my writing notes. hcp@Recrutgurm.com  / there is no news / devil lop men from   www.Eterni.me  where I have registers.

Page no = 237

·         Exactly what Norbert waiver has predicted in his books “Human Use of HUMAN BEINGS” (1950)

Page no = 240

·         In a TV series, MichioKaku talked about these.

Page no = 241

·         No further news! I suppose buried under bureau cretic handles.

Page no = 243

·         In one of my recent  blogs ( I forget the title) , I have argued : ultimately ,any product ,entirely consists of “labor costs “ since all materials are dug out “FREE” FROM cart.

Page no = 244

·         Only 10% unease in efficiency of existing LED  bulbs.

Page no = 245

·         Of a far reefer- and practiced –use  is what I just read on the Net ( searching this grapheme- -coated blue. ) 

·         That is invention of a Grapheme plastic file eating as a super-Capacitor capable of charging a mobile phone in 30 seconds! 

·         Article said, it charges-and discharges – 100 to 1000 times faster than exiting Capacitors,

·         It goes on to say, possibly Electric cars can be fully charged in 2 minutes, using such super-capacitors! if that becomes  a commercial success, petrol –delivered cars can be replaced by electric cars,

Page no = 249

·         Rampant in 10th /12th standard exam results in India.  

·         Just count the no of grads & post –grads applying’s for PEON’S jobs in India.  

Page no = 252

·         In 1981/82, when PC. First arrived in India, unions opposed the same, Management’s went to the extent of calling, these (especially, the Banks) , “ Recoat Keeping march news”  instead of “computers” VOLTAS . UNION was one of the first to oppose. In L&t. I managed to overcome union resistance by taking. a team of union leaders (SVNWK) TO  data mattes office for a  demo.

Page no = 253

·         Actual “persons answering our telephone-calls,  rather than stupid IVRS, TELLING YOU.!

Page no = 254

·         Robots need none of these PERIODS. I have suggested sincere manfully lower corpo, TAX rates. (for each higher slab ) as a company’s employce-strchngth  keeps- rising.

Page no = 255

·         Same may apply for driverless trains buses cars,

Page no = 256

·         Only a few weeks bank, in countrywide prefund Swiss citizens a monthly sum of $ 2600/= job N no job!

·         Where will Govt find money for this?

Page no = 259

·         Over the past 7 decades, successive goats, introduced a plethora of “welfare schemes” to subsidize all sorts of items. But most of these “leaked away “in the supply chain before reaching the intended beneficedles. Present NDA govt is trying to bypass, the module men, thru (DBT) Dried Benefit transfer in to the bank ale of citizens.  

Page no = 260

·         How can India provide (say) a min guaranteed in come of Rs. 20.000 p.m. for a family of 4, when we have, such.

·         100 million FAMILITES, below the poverty line? NO way can that kind of money be raised by taxing the RICH or taxing the CORPORATE only way is to enable” those to become “self-employed “to earn such living (without paying income tax) very imported. This is what the SWISS people rejected a few weeks ago. Who will declare?  Such sources?

Page no = 261

·         I have repeatedly augend ( in my many blogs) , to “harness Greed” as most powerful incentive for people to earn more & more I have suggested total abolition of personal income Tax ,now of course this worst help 100 million families ( of 4 ) below poverty line. They are not paying any income tax in any case!! So abolition of tax makes no different to them.

·         Abolition of person income tax would lead to 1 ) more consumption due to more disposable on income 2) Greater domestic saving rate reducing pressure on retirement pensions.

Page no = 262

·         I believe NDA govt’s “Skilling India” Guarantees a wan of Rs- 10.000/= to every student completing some VOCATIONAL training at an ITI (industrial Trg. Institute) .

·         Sakar Maa Baap Dependency culture we can will do nothing on our own!! Govt  must do everything  for us.

Page no = 264

·         Under NDA govt’s Direct Benefit scheme (DBT) subsidy amount is directly credited into the bank a/c of the beneficiaries.  Read my several blogs on how to create a “low cost Economy”

Page no =268

·         As trequecutly advocated by me, if personal income tax is totally calloused taxpayers would be left with 2.5 /3.0 lakh. Cr. Overs. They   might spend 60/% of this for “consumption” and 40% for “Investments” Either way, it will boost the economy and consequent demand and production leading to Crafton of more jobs, it is really simple may be simple for the learned enwombs

Page no = 269

·         Read my blog = “How to break the vicious circle?  03 July 2016.

Page no = 271

·         Only couple of weeks back, the (then) chancellor of  Exchequer, coerce Osborne ,announced that UK  WILL REDUCE , corpo, income tax from 20% to 15%  ignored to retain / attract / foreign / investment after BREXIT.

Page no = 272

·         Anti- climax. In India, less than 2%  of population.

Page no = 274

·         For past 2 yrs. I have been advocating use of BLACKMONEY, for Infrastrnture SPV: under a govt: announced Amnesty scheme read my 6/8 blogs. On this subject. Many more jobs in a near future.

Page no = 276

·         I have repeatedly advocated that as incentive to hire more eunployees. Corpo-Tax rates should be gradually. (Shah-wise) reduced for companies as their employment. Rises of cows accompanied.by liberal “lire & policy for periods of slack demand.

Page no =277

·         Slightly raising tax. Free income limit, each year,

Page no = 282

Does this mean: by paying lower wages, UK was able to add more “Employees”? It stands to reason that, it a company could hire lots of worker at low wages; it would have little incentive to invest hearty in to expensive auto ration.    


No comments:

Post a Comment